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NoleGameday

2016 MLB Draft Projections

@MLBDraft

*Note: This list will include players from the 2015-16 team that are eligible for the upcoming draft. It will not include players who are not eligible for the 2016 MLB Draft.

Players Drafted in 2015 (order of drafted):

OF D.J. Stewart (Jr.) rd.1 Baltimore Orioles, C Danny De La Calle (Sr.) rd.9 Tampa Bay Rays, LHP Billy Strode (Sr.) rd.10 Chicago Cubs, RHP Dylan Silva (Jr.) rd.11 Seattle Mariners, RHP Boomer Biegalski (So.) rd.14 Oakland Athletics, LHP Bryant Holtman (Sr.) rd.24 Arizona Diamondbacks, OF Josh Delph (Sr.) rd.37 Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Players Eligible (alphabetical order):

RHP Taylor Blatch (RSo.), LHP Alec Byrd (Jr.), C Bryan Bussey (Jr.), RHP Mike Compton (RSr.), OF Ben DeLuzio (Jr.), OF Nick Graganella (RSr.), IF Matt Henderson (Jr.), IF/OF Hayden Kelly (Sr.), LHP Matthew Kinney (RSr.), IF Quincy Nieporte (Jr.), IF John Sansone (Sr.), IF Hank Truluck (Jr.), RHP Ed Voyles (RSo.), RHP Jim Voyles (Jr.), RHP Andy Ward (RSo.), RHP Tyler Warmoth (RSr.), OF Steven Wells Jr. (So.), OF Gage West (Jr.), RHP Will Zirzow (RSo.)

The 2016 Florida State Seminoles are missing that 1st round prestige that they have had the past two seasons, 2014 with Luke Weaver going to the St. Louis Cardinals and 2015 with D.J. Stewart going to the Baltimore Orioles, but they have depth with the amount of eligible draftees. It is important to note the eligibility rules for players to be selected in the First-Year Player Draft as stated by Major League Baseball:

  • High school players, if they have graduated from high school and have not yet attended college or junior college;
  • College players, from four-year colleges who have either completed their junior or senior years or are at least 21 years old; and
  • Junior college players, regardless of how many years of school they have completed

Another important distinction to make with the MLB Draft is that a player does NOT have to leave school is he is selected as an underclassman. The player has the right to negotiate with the team and decide to accept the slot bonus or go back to school. Personally, I do not believe there will be many underclassmen who leave the team early but there are always surprises. With that being said let’s dive in, I categorized the players into three different categories based on where they will likely be selected.

Players Who Will Most Likely Be Selected:

RHP Mike Compton (RSr.)

The senior starting pitcher is the most likely starting pitcher to be selected from this Seminole team. One thing that hurts Compton in terms of draft status is his Tommy John surgery three years ago. It is often a concern from MLB scouts if a pitcher has to have TJ so early in his career. Compton has not done himself any favors by not throwing great this season in addition to being shut down for two week with tendinitis in his right arm. Compton throws three pitches: fastball, slider, and changeup. He has average command of the fastball as he can locate pitches on both sides of the plate and his command of his secondary pitches are average at best. Compton’s biggest strength as a pitcher is his ability to throw strikes consistently. He rarely walks batters but the problem arises sometimes that he throws too many strikes. His stuff is not good enough to consistently pound the strike zone and overpower hitters. He profiles as a a minor league filler arm as a reliever but has the experience and stamina to start if needed to. He will have to refine his secondary pitches and probably add a little velocity to his fastball to be a starter at the next level. Compton will be selected as he is out of collegiate playing time, but he will probably never make it very high up in the minor leagues if he chooses to pursue professional baseball.

Projection: Rounds 35-40

LHP Matthew Kinney (RSr.)

The lefty reliever out of the Seminole’s bullpen transferred to Florida State, along with Tyler Warmoth, in order to get drafted. Kinney throws primarily a fastball and a slider that is devastating to lefties. His strength’s lie in getting lefties out but he is good enough to consistently get right handed batters out as well. Kinney profiles as a lefty specialist at the next level but if he can develop another pitch or be able to consistently throw the slider for strikes he could be a full inning reliever at the professional level.

Projection: Rounds 15-20

IF John Sansone (RSr.)

The player for Florida State who has arguably improved his draft stock the most is the senior third baseman for the Seminoles. John Sansone has been demolishing baseballs as his slash line of .371/.452/.589 shows. The power has also developed nicely in his senior season as he is tied for the team leads in home runs with nine. Sansone has quick hands and a direct, compact swing where he meets the ball out in front of the plate. Translating to the big league level his position will be a question mark. He has shown the ability to handle third base adequately in the ACC but I would imagine he moves back to second base where there is more time to throw out runners, less chance of a bobbled grounder being an error, and where his power could be seen as above average for the position. He has a strong hit tool and could be seen as a quick riser in a system but he may lack in major league power. Overall, Sansone has had a tremendous season and he should see it pay off as a reasonably high draft selection.

Projection: Rounds 3-6

RHP Tyler Warmoth (RSr.)

John Sansone was the player who improved his draft stock the most this season and it is fair to say that Tyler Warmoth did the opposite. The graduate transfer from Stetson has been the closer for the Seminoles all season and he has had a mixed bag of success and failures. His most recent blown save was against Miami with a berth in the ACC Championship on the line. Warmoth is 6’2″ with an unorthodox lower three-quarter delivery which adds deception to his pitches. His main is pitch is his slider which, when coupled with his arm slot, can be a devastating pitch to right-handed hitters. Although Warmoth’s limiting his hits, only 23 in 28.1 innings this season, his 5.08 BB/9 is very high for a high-leverage reliever. His 12.07 K/9 coupled with his BB/9 is indicative that the stuff is very good, he just struggles with command issues from time to time. That is evidenced again with his 5 homeruns given up this season, a very high number for a late-inning reliever. He will most likely be selected due to his stuff and his delivery, but he will have to work on command and control issues in order to advance through the minors at all.

Projection: Rounds 20-25

Players With a Chance to Be Selected:

LHP Alec Byrd (Jr.)

The left-handed reliever for Florida State has an interesting profile heading into the 2016 MLB Draft. Byrd was selected in the 37th round in the 2013 MLB Draft by the Cincinnati Reds before turning them down and heading to Florida State. Byrd is a tall lefty with a deceptive arm angle and devastating secondary pitches to left-handed batters. Byrd has a sparkling 2.10 ERA on the season and has only allowed 15 hits in 30 innings. He does an excellent job of limiting hard contact when he can locate his pitches. Byrd runs into trouble when he leaves his pitches up in the zone or over the middle of the plate as he does not throw hard enough to overcompensate for missed location. He is also a sort of hybrid-reliever as he can come in to face a dangerous lefty or he can stay in for a couple of innings to try to shut down an offense. Byrd made three starts in 2015 but never made it past 4.1 innings, which is fine for a reliever. Ultimately it comes down to whether or not Byrd believes he can improve his draft position by coming back to the Seminoles for his senior season.

Projection: Rounds 15-20

OF Ben DeLuzio (Jr.)

The two most enticing attributes of Ben DeLuzio’s game are his speed and his defensive ability in centerfield. After being selected by the Miami Marlins in the 3rd round of the 2013 MLB Draft, Deluzio declined and attended Florida State on scholarship. DeLuzio was the de facto starting centerfielder from the moment he came to campus and his freshman year he hit very well at the plate. Last season and this season DeLuzio has struggled mightily at the plate, including some concerning mechanical habits at the plate. If DeLuzio is selected in this year’s draft I fully expect him to return to Florida State as he will have the starting center field job and he will have a chance to have an offensive season like he did his freshman year.

Projection: Rounds 30-35

RHP Jim Voyles (RJr.)

Arguably the best relief pitcher for the Seminoles this season, Voyles may hear his name called during the 2016 MLB Draft. He has a 2.68 ERA on the season while only allowing 30 hits in 47.0 innings. Voyles has two primary pitches: his sinking fastball and a changeup. Voyles has a simple delivery, using his large frame to get a good extension and generate velocity with his lower half. As far as injury history is concerned he did miss two weeks earlier this season after being hit in the head with a line drive but that shouldn’t factor into a draft concern. For as solid as Voyles is, there are no real flashy tools or pitches that he throws which entice MLB teams. Voyles is just a solid reliever for the Seminoles and he isn’t tempting enough to be selected high in the draft.

Players Who Will Probably Not Be Selected

RHP Taylor Blatch (RSo.), C Bryan Bussey (Jr.), OF Nick Graganella (RSr.), IF Matt Henderson (Jr.), IF/OF Hayden Kelly (Sr.), IF Quincy Nieporte (Jr.), IF Hank Truluck (Jr.), RHP Ed Voyles (RSo.), RHP Andy Ward (RSo.), OF Steven Wells Jr. (So.), OF Gage West (Jr.), RHP Will Zirzow (RSo.)

 

The 2016 MLB Draft will be held from June 9-11.


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