Sharp Seven: Week 10 Gambling Picks

Last week: 3-4

Season total: 31-31-1 (50%)

Last weekend was another funky one in the college football world. Through nine weeks, we are sitting at an even 50% after taking out a push so far this year on our picks. There is plenty of good football this weekend so let’s try and see where we can make some money.

Temple at #12 UCF (-10.5)

This line doesn’t make much sense to me. Temple remains unbeaten in conference play but the Knights are still on a different level. While UCF isn’t getting much love from the College Football Playoff committee, I still think they are one of the better teams in the country right now. Look for a pissed off UCF team to take their frustrations out on Temple in Orlando Thursday night.

Pitt at #25 Virginia (-7.5)

The ACC is Clemson and then everybody else. You can never feel great about picking a line in conference play when the Tigers aren’t involved but Virginia has been impressive for most of their 2018 campaign. The winner of this game has a great shot at winning the Coastal division and becoming the sacrificial lamb for Clemson in the ACC championship game next month.

The difference here is home field where Virginia remains unbeaten this season. The backdoor cover is a scary thought but I still like the Cavilers in this one by 10 or more.

#19 Syracuse (-5) at Wake Forest

Dino Babers enter this season with his seat being fairly warm. Through eight games, that has certainly changed. The Orange are battling Boston College for the title of second best in the Atlantic right now. Syracuse is coming off of a big win over N.C State and is bowl eligible for the first time since 2013.

Neither team plays much defense but even on the road, I have Syracuse as at least a touchdown better than Wake Forest right now.

#6 Georgia (-9) at #9 Kentucky

After a tough loss to LSU, Georgia seems to have rebounded nicely making light work of Florida last weekend. Meanwhile, Kentucky probably should have lost to Missouri last week if not for some questionable officiating.

This will be the biggest home game for Kentucky in several decades so I expect the Wildcats to come out with some fight. At the end of the day, the talent disparity (and possibly some SEC refs who know what a disaster of a conference championship game Alabama vs. Kentucky would be) will show late as Georgia pulls away. Give me the Bulldogs by double digits in this one.

#13 West Virginia (+2) at #17 Texas

Neither team has been consistently reliable this season so give me the best quarterback on the field in Will Grier as West Virginia finds a way to win this one late.

#1 Alabama at #3 LSU (+15)

Alabama hasn’t been tested all season long but a night game in the real Death Valley could change that. I don’t see LSU winning this game outright but 15 points is a big number to give a home team with an elite defense as the Tigers have.

LSU’s offense isn’t anything special but Alabama’s defense isn’t exactly what we’re used to seeing either. I think this game is close for three and a half quarters before the Tide score a late touchdown to win the game.

Florida State at #21 N.C. State (-7.5)

This is a game I would normally never touch but since this is an FSU website, let’s get it a shot.

As of Thursday morning, it is still unclear who will start at Quarterback for the Seminoles this weekend though most signs point to James Blackman making his first start of the 2018 season. The quarterback change could spark the offense against a weak Wolf Pack defense but the offensive line remains a major issue for the Seminoles.

On the other side of the ball, N.C. State quarterback Ryan Finley is one of the top quarterbacks in the league and he has some capable receivers to work with.

At the end of the day, this Florida State team just has too many question marks as they head into a venue that has been brutal to them the past 20 years or so. I think FSU keeps it close for three quarters but the Wolf Pack finds the end zone late to put the game out of reach.

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