Week 1 Bold Prediction: Jalen Hurts will not throw for 100 yards

I suppose I could make a long-winded argument about how Jalen Hurts is far from an elite passer, citing his inability to consistently throw the ball past the line of scrimmage, however, I would rather just employ the maxim “actions speak louder than words” and give you, the reader, concrete evidence as to why this prediction might be more probable than bold.  In the last two games Jalen Hurts has played, it is safe to say he has struggled.

Against Washington, Jalen Hurts only completed 7 of 14 passes for 57 yards.  He did not throw a touchdown.  Even more unimpressively, almost all of his completions were behind or near the line of scrimmage.

Against Clemson, Jalen Hurts might have had a more impressive stat line, but his performance was just as underwhelming.  While he did manage to throw for 131 yards, 68 yards came on a single throw: a touchdown pass to a wide open OJ Howard due to a busted coverage.  Excluding that throw, Hurts completed 12 of 30 passes for 63 yards and 0 touchdowns.  And similarly to the Washington game, nearly all of Hurts completions were behind or near the line of scrimmage.

Now you can see while this may be a problem for Hurts against FSU, given that the Seminoles did have two preseason First-Team AP All-Americans in the secondary in safety Derwin James and corner Tarvarus McFadden.  In fact, many experts have crowned Florida State’s secondary best in college football, notably Phil Steele and Athlon Sports.  If Charles Kelly (FSU’s defensive coordinator) and company can eradicate the coverage busts that plagued the Seminoles early on in 2016, Alabama is going to have to find another way to score, because I doubt Jalen Hurts will throw for 100 yards.

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