fbpx
NoleGameday

Sharp Seven: Week 7 Gambling Picks

Last week: 4-2-1*

Season total: 20-21-2 (48%)

First things first. I’m putting an asterisk on last weeks record as we should have been an easy 5-2. Texas A&M scored a game-winning touchdown in overtime giving the Aggies a six-point win over Kentucky. This is significant as A&M covers the spread had they kicked the PAT which was never attempted as the game was officially over once the Aggies crossed the goal line.

That said, it was still a great bounce-back week for us. While Florida State has a bye this week, there are no weeks of when it comes to our gambling picks so let’s jump right in and get back over 50% on the season.

#23 USF (-7.5) at Tulsa

Charlie Strong has USF firing on all cylinders right now. The Bulls are putting up 38 points per game and are ready to feast on a Tulsa defense who ranks 79th in the nation defensively. I can’t see a scenario here where Tulsa keeps it within 10 points Friday night.

Tennessee at #21 Auburn (-15.5)

Had this game been in Knoxville, I think it would be interesting. Right now, Jeremy Pruitt just doesn’t have the players to be competitive in the SEC.

Auburn is coming off an embarrassing loss at Mississippi State last weekend and is primed for a bounce-back game. If Malzahn has a chance to add extra points late, I fully expect him to do so. The Tigers win this one by 17+.

Pittsburgh at #5 Notre Dame (-20.5)

Each week that passes, Notre Dame looks more and more like a playoff team. The Irish are coming off of a big win at Virginia Tech last weekend which leaves the potential for a letdown game Saturday at home against Pitt. That said, I don’t think Brian Kelly lets that happen.

Notre Dame’s defense should suffocate the Panthers offense who already struggles to score points. Since Ian Book has taken over the Notre Dame offense, the Irish have moved the ball very well scoring plenty of points along the way. The Irish roll big in this one.

#2 Georgia at #13 LSU (+7.5)

It’s always a tall task to go into Death Valley and win. Doing it by more than a touchdown is even more difficult. That said, I really like the way things are set up for Georgia here. LSU is coming off of an emotional loss to a rival last week and has to immediately get ready for the second-ranked team in the nation.

UGA has been blowing teams out and getting key players plenty of rest along the way so far this season.

I look for LSU’s crowd to keep them in the game early but Georgia’s offense is just too good for the Tigers to keep in check for four quarters.

#7 Washington (-3) at #17 Oregon

This game will be one of the better quarterback duels of the season. Both Jake Browning of Washington and Justin Herbert of Oregon will play football at the next level and should put on a show through the air Saturday.

Washington was in a closer game than they wanted last weekend leading UCLA by just seven points deep in the fourth quarter but escaped with the win.

Oregon missed a golden opportunity at home when they let Stanford complete a miracle comeback on them in Eugene last month. I think that game will have them prepared to go the distance this weekend and beat Oregon outright.

Missouri at #1 Alabama (-28)

Nick Saban was furious last weekend with his defense who gave up 31 points to a very bad Arkansas team.

Mix a pissed off Saban with the best quarterback in college football and this one gets ugly on Saturday. Missouri is a solid football team but won’t be ready for what they are walking into this weekend.

#15 Wisconsin (+7.5) at Michigan

At 6.5 points, I would really struggle here. I think Michigan wins the game but giving more than a touchdown to an always sound Wisconsin team is too much in this one.

Michigan has a great defense but Wisconsin’s offense has quietly had a very good season so far. I think this one will be a classic Big 10 game where not a lot of points are scored.

Michigan wins at home with a late field goal but Wisconsin covers the number.


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *