Sharp Seven: Week One

To be honest, I wasn’t sure if I would return for a third season of gambling picks this year because I wasn’t sure a season would even be played. With that said, I am happy to be back with you all for another year of our Sharp Seven feature giving you our weekly picks against the spread from any handful of games. At least in the early weeks of the season, it’s going to be difficult to find seven lines I like. A large part of that is due to an offseason that included no spring practice, limited summer workouts, and a fall camp like we’ve never seen before.

I am expecting it to take Vegas several weeks before they can catch up to these teams in terms of providing accurate spreads each week which will limit the number of games I pick on here for now. From there, let’s jump right into our week one where we have five picks for you this week.

UAB at Miami -13.5

This line has since jumped up to 14.5 which is much more intriguing in my opinion. I think Miami’s offense is going to look sloppy early on like most teams in the first year of a new scheme, but their defense should be enough to beat a middle-of-the-road UAB team. I can see D’Eriq King extending some plays early on with his legs giving them enough of a cushion to hold on for a two-score win.

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Syracuse +22.5 at North Carolina

North Carolina has been a media darling this offseason and enters 2020 with high expectations. Sam Howell should take that next step in offensive coordinator Phil Longo’s offense, but I think it could take a few weeks for them to get rolling. The Tar Heels win but the Orange cover.

Duke at Notre Dame -20.5

To me, this is one I’d rather not overthink. Duke should have a respectable season in league play this year but I think this is a bad game for them to open with. I worry about the backdoor cover a bit here but I fully expect Notre Dame to have a three-touchdown or more lead later in the game.

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Georgia Tech at Florida State (-12.5) and UNDER 54.5

I don’t think the 12.5 points is as much of a slam dunk as some suggest but I really like the under in this one. With no spring and an extremely abbreviated summer for Florida State, I have a hard time thinking the offense comes out clicking from start to finish. I think they hit a few chunk plays that lead to points but I also believe Mike Norvell will be content riding his defense to a win in this one. If the defense keeps GT in check early, look for Florida State to shorten the game and sit on any lead they may have. FSU 26 GT 13

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