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NoleGameday

Sharp Seven: Week One

Week one is probably the most difficult week to gauge in terms of the numbers Vegas throws out. Position battles are still being sorted out and the number of unknowns is plentiful. That said, we jumped out winning both picks in week zero as Miami covered in the under so let’s just ride that momentum into the season!

Clemson -33.5 vs Georgia Tech (Thursday)

Georgia Tech is in the middle of a massive transition as new head coach Geoff Collins enters year one with the Yellow Jackets. Collins will do his best to use the pieces he has as he moves away from the triple-option Johnson ran for the previous decade.

Unfortunately for Collins, his first game with Tech will be against the defending national champions led by the favorite to win the Heisman in Trevor Lawrence. This game won’t be close at all. Clemson easily holds a 34 point lead at one point but can the Jackets backdoor? I don’t think they will. Take Clemson and give the points.

Wisconsin at South Florida +13.5 (Friday)

There’s no question that Wisconsin is the better team. That said, a Big Ten team traveling to hot and humid Tampa to take on a team of mostly Florida natives against a Charlie Strong coached team will be problematic.

Much like when you see northern NFL teams struggle with southern climate teams in September, this one will be sloppy and closer than it should be.

Alabama -33.5 vs Duke (Atlanta, GA)

The last time Alabama saw the football field, they left beyond embarrassed. Well, now Nick Saban has had just shy of nine months to get his team ready for this game.

I’ll bet on a pissed off Saban and Alabama team all day. I could see the Tide covering this spread before the third quarter is over.

Oregon +3.5 vs Auburn (Arlington, TX)

Like his game or not, Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert could potentially be the number one overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. On the other side of the field, Auburn will trot out a true freshman in former five-star Bo Nix.

While I think Nix will be an outstanding quarterback eventually, give me the experience the Ducks are bringing to the field. I think they win the game outright.

Washington State -31.5 vs New Mexico State

This pick should surprise nobody who followed our advice last season. I started riding Washington State late in the year and they paid off every time. In a week where there is so much uncertainty surrounding the numbers Vegas is pumping out, this is a bet on America’s favorite weirdo, Mike Leach, doing what he does and making us some money.

Louisville vs Notre Dame -19 (Monday)

Similar to the situation at Georgia Tech, Louisville has a new coach tasked with cleaning up a complete mess. I think Scott Satterfield was an outstanding hire and the program should see dividends from the move in the future but 2019 is going to be ugly. Take the Domers, give the points and make yourself some money here.

Florida State -5 vs Boise State (Jacksonville, FL)

Despite coming off of a five-win campaign in 2018, there seems to be a good bit of positivity coming out of Tallahassee right now. Most notably, the hiring of Kendal Briles and Randy Clements.

If history tells us anything, it’s that Kendal Briles gets positive results almost instantly anywhere he’s been. I think his offensive mind with a true leader at quarterback in James Blackman will have the new look ‘Noles moving the ball at a rate we haven’t seen in years.

Obviously, the caveat here is the offensive line. I think the chemistry between Briles and Clements pays off giving the Seminoles a somewhat average line which would be a huge upgrade from a year ago.

Boise State will start a true freshman at quarterback this weekend which has to make Harlon Barnett smile. While Hank Bachmeier is a very talented young individual, I can’t trust a true freshman traveling across in what is now a true road game thanks to the contest being relocated to Doak Campbell Stadium.

With the relocation comes a time change as the game will now kickoff at noon. I find this extremely advantageous for Florida State as this is basically a morning kickoff for Boise State. The noon start time will also mean increased heat and humidity for the Broncos.

The Broncos have one of the most talented Group of Five rosters in the country but it still shouldn’t compare to what Florida State will put on the field.

I’m expecting the improved coaching staff with more defined roles, as well as Blackman being the unquestioned leader of the team, to pay off here. Give me Florida State to win by 10.

There you go, folks! Now go get rich with us this season!


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