Sharp Seven: Week Seven

Last week: 2-5

Season total: 22-22 (50%)

I think it’s safe to say that I should have taken a bye last week with the team. The good news about an awful 2-5 week is that it can’t get much worse than that. We have a lot of great games on the slate this week to pick from so let’s jump right in.

Virginia (moneyline) at Miami

Miami showed new life in the second half against Virginia Tech last weekend in their failed comeback attempt. N’Kosi Perry came in for Jarren Williams and filled up the stat sheet but is that a performance he can replicate should Manny Diaz go with him? I don’t think so. A win here will go a long way for Virginia’s chances of winning the Coastal and getting a potential Orange Bowl bid. The Cavs win a close one here.

Oklahoma (-10) vs Texas (Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX)

Texas won a shootout in the Red River Showdown last year. Jalen Hurts is on a mission right now and Oklahoma returns the favor with a late touchdown covering the number for the Sooners.

Maryland (-3) at Purdue

When it seems like free money, it usually isn’t. That said, Maryland has too much offense for Purdue to keep this within a field goal. Let’s ride the Terps on this one.

Michigan State at Wisconsin (-10)

Wisconsin is quietly having one of the better seasons of anyone in the nation to this point. I like them to ride their ground attack to a two-touchdown victory in this one.

Louisville at Wake Forest (-6)

Don’t look now but Wake Forest is about to be 6-0 and ranked inside the top 20 when Florida State visits Snuggie Hill next weekend. Historically I could see Wake getting caught looking ahead here but I think they take care of business against the Cardinals with relative ease.

Florida at LSU (-13.5)

I have a feeling this line drops a bit as the week goes on but I still like LSU here. Florida is riding high after beating a Bo Nix-led Auburn team who couldn’t complete a forward pass. Average quarterback play by the Tigers last week likely results in an Auburn win. The Gators and Kyle Trask must now go to what will be the most hostile environment in the nation this weekend to take on an LSU team who looks primed for a college football playoff appearance. I don’t see this game being particularly close in the fourth quarter but will definitely be looking for the backdoor cover. LSU wins and I think they can cover as well.

Florida State (+27) at Clemson

27 points is a huge number in conference play. In fact, this is the largest underdog Florida State has been since they went to the Swamp for Tim Tebow’s senior day a decade ago. Florida covered that day.

While I think this still may be too tall of a hill for Florida State to climb as far as going into Death Valley and walking out with a win, I do think this team is slowly turning a corner and will keep this competitive for a half. Eventually, Clemson’s depth may be too much to overcome but I just can’t see them running away with it like they did a year ago.

I’m thinking something in the 37-17 range for this one.




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