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Sharp Seven: Week Six

Last week: 4-3

Season total: 20-17 (54%)

We were back in the money last week and remain profitable for the season through five weeks.

Florida State is taking this week off but the picks never rest. Let’s jump right into our week six picks.

Georgia Southern at South Alabama (UNDER 49)

Two run-heavy teams that struggle to score has the underwritten all over this. Start your weekend early by profiting off of some bad football Thursday night.

Temple (-11) at East Carolina

I typically tend to side with home dogs on a weeknight but I just think Temple is that much better than the Pirates are right now. Part of me fears a late ECU touchdown but I think the Owls will have enough of a buffer by then and still cover the 11 points.

UCF (-3) at Cincinnati

This group of five games could potentially impact who ends up in the Cotton Bowl. The Knights bounced back nicely from the loss to Pitt by dismantling UCONN despite failing to cover the spread thanks to a backdoor cover by the Huskies. This game won’t get out of hand enough for the Bearcats to get some late touchdowns on UCF’s backups so I feel better about going with the Knights here, especially since they are only laying a field goal.

TCU at Iowa State (-3)

Now that you’re 3-0 heading into the weekend, start your Saturday by rolling with Iowa State at noon. The Cyclones lost a heart-breaker last weekend at the hands of Baylor but they bounce back at home and take care of the Horned Frogs this weekend.

Iowa (+5) at Michigan

I’m sorry but beating up on a terrible Rutgers team isn’t an impressive feat. Jim Harbaugh has made a living on pummeling the doormats while constantly under-performing against quality teams. Part of me even thinks the wrong team is favored here. Take the 5 points but go ahead and throw a little on the money line as well. I can see Iowa winning this one outright in the Big House.

Baylor at Kansas State (-2)

We are 2-0 betting on Matt Rhule and Baylor this year but I think they take their first loss of the season here. I see this game as a toss-up with the home field making the difference for the Wildcats.

Auburn -2.5 at Florida

If this game were played anywhere other than Gainesville, I’d take Auburn by 10+. Florida fans are finally excited about football again for the first time since the Tebow era and I expect an electric atmosphere in the swamp Saturday afternoon. Bo Nix has shown that this type of stage isn’t too big for him and I think he does enough to help the Tigers find the end zone a few times. Auburn’s front seven will just be too much for Florida’s offense to handle. I think this game is closer than it should be but the Tigers are the better team and win the game.

*all lines as of Wednesday morning

 

 

 


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