Sharp Seven: Week Two

Last week: 3-4

Season total: 5-4 

Football is a game of inches and we certainly felt that this past weekend with a few bad beats to include a true freshman tossing a game-winning touchdown against Oregon in the final seconds of the game. With that said, we take the good with the bad looking to improve in week 3.

Marshall at #24 Boise State (-11)

Boise State will be tasked with traveling back across the country to get ready for Marshall after an extremely emotional win at Florida State. Typically, I look for a letdown the next week in this type of situation but the way the Broncos handled all of the adversity last weekend has me thinking they will be able to refocus and take care of business at home Friday night.

Cincinnati at #5 Ohio State (-16.5)

Cincinnati has to be feeling good about themselves after handling Chip Kelly and UCLA at home this past weekend. That said, I don’t think UCLA is any good at all. Ohio State did what good teams do last weekend. They came out firing on all cylinders taking care of an over-matched FAU team. I’m seeing much of the same in this game. Getting the line under 17 points is an easy decision here.

#12 Texas A&M (+17.5) at #1 Clemson

This line sticks out to me. The Aggies had Clemson on their heels a season ago in College Station in Jimbo Fisher’s first year with the Aggies. A year where he covered in nine of their 13 games, good for 8th best in the country. Clemson beat up on a bad Georgia Tech team last week but I think they get tested this weekend. The Tigers still win fairly comfortably, but I don’t see it happening by 18+ points.

Central Michigan at #17 Wisconsin (-35)

Wisconsin burned me last week as I took USF to cover the 12.5 point spread against the Badgers. Well, Wisconsin covered it four times over in their blowout win against the Bulls. Call it an early season lesson learned. Give me the Badgers and lay the points here.

#6 LSU at #9 Texas (+6)

Tom Herman has slowly brought Texas back to national relevance. It will be a packed house in Austin Saturday night but are the Longhorns ready for this stage? I think so. Ed Orgeron has been an away favorite nine times since taking over at LSU. In those games, his teams have covered 44% of the time. In that same time span, he is just 6-8-1 ATS in non-conference games. As an underdog, Herman is 13-2-1 with 10 of those being outright wins. I think LSU gets the SEC bump in terms of this line but Texas will cover.

Louisiana-Monroe at Florida State (-21) and Over 62 points.

I see two things happening here. First, Kendal Briles gets the offense going like he did in the first half against Boise State and refuses to take his foot off the gas. Secondly, the defensive struggles continue due to a lack of execution allowing the Warhawks to score more points than they probably should this weekend.

ULM will be without their top pass-rusher in junior defensive end Kerry Starks. Starks has been suspended for this weekends game for allegedly spitting in an opposing players face in their opener. His backup, senior defensive end Sam Miller, is also doubtful with a shoulder injury.

With ULM down to a third-string defensive end on a roster that already lacks the depth to compete with Florida State for four quarters, this should help open the offense up even more giving Blackman an extra second or two in the pocket to get the ball to his bevy of receivers.

Defensively, the Seminoles should look better but after 13 games with Harlon Barnett calling that side of the ball, I just can’t help but think ULM hits a few big plays throughout the game. The defense has looked confused and out of place in almost every game since Barnett took over and I don’t see that changing this weekend.

Florida State will put up a lot of points this weekend and a few ULM touchdowns push this game over the 62 point mark.

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